A battleground state surrounded by liberal strongholds could possibly be a serious battle for Democrats in 2024

Estimated read time 5 min read

New Hampshire is at present embroiled in a heated dispute with the Democratic Nationwide Committee over the date of the nation’s well-known first presidential main.

White Home candidates from each main political events are always transferring throughout the state forward of the 2024 presidential primaries.

New Hampshire has lengthy been identified within the political world for its excessive profile alongside the trail to the White Home, however simply as necessary is its standing as a vital common election battleground and the one swing state in New England a shade of blue.

The Republican Occasion governor pledges “we is not going to again down” within the battle with the Democratic Occasion over Biden’s calls for

A sign outside the state capitol building in Concord, New Hampshire

An indication outdoors the state capitol in Harmony, New Hampshire, highlights the state’s cherished standing over the previous century in holding presidential primaries. (Fox Information – Paul Steinhauser)

With the 2024 election simply over a 12 months away, the state will as soon as once more see aggressive contests for president, Congress and governor.

Moreover, what makes New Hampshire much more attention-grabbing is that Democrats seem to manage the state’s federal elections whereas Republicans have full management of the state’s govt places of work and legislature.

“We’re organizing to win the Home majority and flip the governor’s seat, in addition to re-elect Chris Pappas and Annie Kuster to Congress and win the White Home in 2024,” New Hampshire Democratic Occasion Chairman Ray Buckley stated in an announcement.

Crimson state Democrats hold making an attempt — however failing — to show blue

New Hampshire Republican Occasion Chairman Chris Ager can also be aiming for victories within the 2024 election, telling Fox Information: “We have to have a voice in Washington that represents extra than simply the left-wing Democrats within the state. I totally anticipate that we’ll have a voice.” “. Republican consultant in Congress.

“New Hampshire is a superb place to dwell as a result of we now have a Republican Meeting, a Senate and a governor. We need to hold it that means,” Ager stated.

Democrats have gained New Hampshire in each presidential election for 3 many years, apart from 2000, when then-Texas Governor George W. Bush narrowly edged then-Vice President Al Gore within the state’s 4 electoral votes, serving to Bush win the White Home.

However the margins of victory have been all within the single digits.

Democrats have additionally gained 4 consecutive Senate elections relationship again to 2014, and 11 out of 12 Home elections over the previous decade.

Republican Governor Chris Sununu of New Hampshire

Republican Governor Chris Sununu of New Hampshire speaks on the Republican Occasion’s Labor Day Picnic in Salem, New Hampshire, on September 4, 2023. (Fox Information – Paul Steinhauser)

However the story is completely different in state elections, the place in style Republican Gov. Chris Sununu has gained 4 consecutive two-year phrases as governor, and Republicans have captured majorities in each chambers of the state Legislature in 4 of the previous 5 elections. In addition they at present management the five-member Govt Council (which acts as an elected authorities, approving key authorities nominations and contracts) by a 4-1 margin.

The 2023 election on this aggressive state might function a roadmap to 2024

When requested why Democrats appear to dominate federal elections whereas Republicans have the higher hand in state contests, veteran New Hampshire-based political scientist and New England Faculty President Wayne Lesperance instructed Fox Information: “Granite Staters are largely pragmatic voters. “To a big extent.” Consider people, not a lot events.”

Lesperance additionally famous that though there was a “lengthy historical past of Yankee Republicans — fiscally conservative and socially average,” the state had been “affected by individuals transferring to New Hampshire from Massachusetts,” which modified the demographics of the citizens.

Maggie Hassan stands in front of an election campaign sign while speaking to voters

Democratic Senator Maggie Hassan greets supporters after voting on Election Day in her hometown of Newfields, New Hampshire, on November 8, 2022. (Fox Information)

Purple New Hampshire surrounds blue-leaning states like Massachusetts, Maine and Vermont, and is the one aggressive battleground within the New England and New York/New Jersey area. Pennsylvania, on the southern finish of the Northeast, is the one different swing state within the area.

What’s behind this southeastern state going from reliably crimson to a premier battleground?

“New Hampshire could be very completely different from its neighboring states, and has been that means for a very long time,” Neil Levesque instructed Fox Information.

The longtime govt director of the New Hampshire Institute of Politics at Saint Anselm Faculty famous that the “Dwell Free or Die” state has no revenue tax or gross sales tax.

“Simply because we’re near Massachusetts, Vermont and Maine, we can’t be additional in the case of ideology,” he asserted.

Looking forward to subsequent 12 months’s election, each main political events are anticipated to spend so much of assets in New Hampshire on each Home races and what might find yourself being one of the aggressive gubernatorial showdowns within the nation, as Sununu has determined to not search re-election. His election. .


Within the race for the White Home, New Hampshire could as soon as once more show pivotal.

As Levesque famous: “If Al Gore had gained our 4 electoral votes, he would have turn out to be president of the US.”

Get the newest updates from the 2024 marketing campaign path, unique interviews and extra within the Fox Information Digital Election Middle.

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